Netherlands - Mobile Infrastructure, Broadband, Operators - Statistics and Analyses

Synopsis

The number of mobile subscribers in the Dutch market has continued to grow strongly, though much of this growth can be attributed to the M2M and mobile broadband sectors. Slower growth in traditional SIM cards is partly the result of higher mobile penetration and also to competition on pricing which has meant that subscribers have less cause to acquire SIM cards from different providers to capitalise on cheaper on-net tariffs. In common with other European markets, the LTE sector is the main driver, supported by the combination of high smartphone penetration, competitive pricing for mobile data bundles, and the universal coverage of LTE networks provided by the network operators. In some rural areas with poor fixed-line broadband coverage MNOS offer LTE services as a fixed broadband replacement.

Market revenue has been affected in recent quarters as a result of competition and regulatory measures on termination rates and roaming tariffs, as well as by consumer adoption of alternative messaging services, which has reduced the volume of SMS traffic.

The mobile market is concentrated, with the triopoly of T-Mobile Netherlands, KPN and VodafoneZiggo supplemented by a good number of MVNOs and resellers. MNOs have focussed on LTE infrastructure as a basis for developing mobile data services, while a 5G research platform was set up in late 2016 as a test bed for future applications and services based on the anticipated 5G standard. Additional pressure on MNOs is coming from new regulations which ended the restriction by which SIM cards were owned only by MNOs, essentially paving the way for private network operators to develop M2M and other services.

This report provides statistics and analyses on the Dutch mobile market, including a review of the key operators and regulatory issues, and an assessment of emerging mobile data services, LTE-B and developments in carrier aggregation technologies.

Key developments:

  • KPN preps for 5G trials;
  • Tele2 Netherlands launches VoWi-Fi service;
  • T-Mobile launches ‘4G For Home’ solution;
  • KPN extends LTE-M services;
  • MNOs refarm 3G spectrum in the 2100MHz and 2600MHz bands for LTE;
  • T-Mobile Netherlands launches CA LTE-A services;
  • MNOs join with banks to launch m-payments system;
  • T-Mobile and Tele2 sign network sharing agreement;
  • Report update includes the regulator’s market data for Q4 2017, telcos’ operating and financial data to Q1 2018, recent market developments.
  • Companies mentioned in this report:

KPN, Orange Netherlands, Tele2, Versatel, Vodafone Netherlands, Ziggo, T-Mobile Netherlands.

Table of Contents

  • 1. Synopsis
  • 2. Market analysis
  • 3. Mobile statistics
    • 3.1 General statistics
  • 4. Forecasts – mobile subscribers – 2019; 2021; 2023
  • 5. Mobile infrastructure
    • 5.1 Digital networks
      • 5.1.1 5G
      • 5.1.2 Long-term Evolution (LTE)
      • 5.1.3 3G
  • 6. Internet of Things (IoT)
    • 6.1 Machine-to-Machine (M2M)
  • 7. Mobile voice
  • 8. Mobile data
    • 8.1.1 SMS
      • 8.2 Multimedia Messaging Services (MMS)
    • 9. Mobile broadband
    • 10. Regulatory issues
      • 10.1 Spectrum regulations and spectrum auctions
        • 10.1.1 2.6GHz
        • 10.1.2 3.5GHz
        • 10.1.3 Spectrum auction - 2012
        • 10.1.4 Spectrum refarming
      • 10.2 Mobile Termination Rates (MTRs)
      • 10.3 Mobile Number Portability (MNP)
      • 10.4 Roaming
      • 10.5 Network sharing
    • 11. Major mobile operators
      • 11.1 KPN
      • 11.2 VodafoneZiggo
      • 11.3 T-Mobile Netherlands
      • 11.4 Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs)
    • 12. Mobile content and applications
      • 12.1 M-payments
      • 12.2 Satellite mobile
    • 13. Related reports
    • Table 1 – Mobile services market revenue (MNOs) – 2006 - 2016
    • Table 2 – Mobile revenue by retail, wholesale – 2013 - 2016
    • Table 3 – Mobile services revenue by sector– 2008 - 2017
    • Table 4 – Historic - Mobile (SIM) subscribers and penetration rate (regulator data) – 1999 - 2009
    • Table 5 – Mobile (SIM) subscribers and penetration rate (regulator data) – 2010 - 2018
    • Table 6 – Total mobile voice traffic – 2007 - 2018
    • Table 7 – Market share of subscribers by operator – 2006 - 2015
    • Table 8 – Prepaid and contract subscribers by market share (MNOS) – 2008 - 2017
    • Table 9 – Prepaid and contract subscribers (MNOs) – 2007 - 2017
    • Table 10 – Mobile antennae in service by technology – 2014 - 2017
    • Table 11 – Investment in mobile infrastructure – 2012 - 2016
    • Table 12 – Forecast mobile subscribers – 2019; 2021; 2023
    • Table 13 – KPN LTE subscribers – 2012 - 2015
    • Table 14 – M2M connections – 2010 - 2017
    • Table 15 – Data traffic – 2008 - 2017
    • Table 16 – SMS traffic – 2008 - 2018
    • Table 17 – Mobile broadband subscribers – 2009 - 2017
    • Table 18 – 3G licence awards (spectrum, spectrum fees and admin fees) – July 2000
    • Table 19 – Wholesale termination revenue – 2007 - 2016
    • Table 20 – Wholesale terminated traffic – 2010 - 2016
    • Table 21 – Historic - Cumulative mobile numbers ported – 2003 - 2009
    • Table 23 – European data roaming charges – 2014 - 2017
    • Table 24 – KPN mobile consumer retail and wholesale subscribers – 2006 - 2018
    • Table 25 – KPN mobile revenue – 2015 - 2018
    • Table 26 – KPN mobile revenue by quarter – 2015 - 2018
    • Table 27 – KPN mobile monthly ARPU – 2006 - 2018
    • Table 28 – Vodafone Netherlands financial data – 2007 - 2017
    • Table 29 – VodafoneZiggo mobile revenue – 2016 - 2018
    • Table 30 – VodafoneZiggo subscribers – 2004 - 2018
    • Table 31 – Vodafone Netherlands ARPU – 2004 - 2018
    • Table 32 – Historic - Vodafone Netherlands voice minutes – 2004 - 2016
    • Table 33 – T-Mobile Netherlands subscribers – 2006 - 2018
    • Table 34 – T-Mobile Netherlands financial data – 2006 - 2018
    • Table 35 – T-Mobile Netherlands mobile service revenue – 2007 - 2016
    • Table 36 – T-Mobile Netherlands blended ARPU – 2006 - 2016
    • Table 37 – MVNO subscribers – 2005 - 2017
    • Table 38 – Tele2 mobile subscribers – 2007 - 2018
    • Table 39 – Tele2 mobile revenue – 2012 - 2018
    • Chart 1 – Mobile services revenue by sector– 2008 – 2017
    • Chart 2 – Total mobile (SIM) subscribers and penetration rate (regulator data) – 2002 – 2018
    • Chart 3 – Prepaid and contract subscribers – 2007 – 2017
    • Chart 4 – KPN Mobile consumer retail subscribers – 2006 – 2018
    • Chart 5 – Vodafone Netherlands financial data – 2007 – 2017
    • Chart 6 – T-Mobile Netherlands financial data – 2006 – 2018
    • Chart 7 – MVNO subscribers – 2005 – 2017
    • Exhibit 1 – 2.6GHz spectrum auction – April 2010
    • Exhibit 2 – Spectrum auction – October 2012

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    Number of pages 32

    Status Current

    Last updated 11 Jun 2018
    Update History

    Analyst: Henry Lancaster

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