Virus impact over each market - telecom operators, government agencies and regulators' responses - revised forecasts for the next 5 years.
The South Pacific region has become a hub for submarine cable system development in recent years with further networks coming online during 2019/2020. This is expected to increase competition in the region in regards to international capacity and the New Caledonian government plans to hold a tender process in 2019 in order to establish its own international and domestic submarine cable.
New Caledonia’s telecommunications sector is dominated by the government owned OPT-NC which holds a monopoly and provides fixed and mobile voice services, mobile internet, fixed broadband access, and wholesale services for other ISPs.
In 2019 New Caledonia is well serviced by extensive 3G and 4G LTE networks and is considered to have one of the highest smart phone adoption rates in the Pacific Region.
While ADSL is still the dominant fixed broadband technology; the OPTC is also deploying a nationwide FttH network.
BuddeComm notes that the outbreak of the Coronavirus in 2020 is having a significant impact on production and supply chains globally. During the coming year the telecoms sector to various degrees is likely to experience a downturn in mobile device production, while it may also be difficult for network operators to manage workflows when maintaining and upgrading existing infrastructure. Overall progress towards 5G may be postponed or slowed down in some countries.
On the consumer side, spending on telecoms services and devices is under pressure from the financial effect of large-scale job losses and the consequent restriction on disposable incomes. However, the crucial nature of telecom services, both for general communication as well as a tool for home-working, will offset such pressures. In many markets the net effect should be a steady though reduced increased in subscriber growth.
Office des Postes et Télécommunications de Nouvelle-Calédonie (OPT-NC).
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